Tennis · W75 Vacaria · 23/07, 17:30
Prediction: Laura Pigossi vs Maria Florencia Urrutia
Prediction summary
Winner
Laura Pigossi
Maria Florencia Urrutia
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Laura Pigossi
5-5 (W-L)
Maria Florencia Urrutia
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Laura Pigossi 1474 · Maria Florencia Urrutia 1534
| Laura Pigossi | Maria Florencia Urrutia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maria Florencia Urrutia (rating 1474 vs 1534).
Statistics
| Laura Pigossi | Maria Florencia Urrutia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (6) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.8-10.1 | 12.3-9.1 |
| Aces | 3 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 53.6% | 59.6% |
| Break % | 35.9% | 52.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Laura Pigossi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Camila Rodero W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 14/07 | Laura Samsonova WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 07/07 | Maria Lourdes Carle WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Oceane Dodin Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/06 | Deborah Chiesa W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Anastasia Tikhonova W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/06 | Gabriella Da Silva Fick W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/05 | Claire Liu French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 08/05 | Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales WTA Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Linda Fruhvirtova WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
Maria Florencia Urrutia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Isabella Barrera Aguirre W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Valentina Steiner W50 Darmstadt |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 06/07 | Kailey Evans W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 20/06 | Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele W15 Luque · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 19/06 | Maria F Herazo Gonzalez W15 Luque · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/06 | Isabella Barrera Aguirre W15 Luque · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 17/06 | Jennifer Rosa Dourado W15 Luque · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 12/06 | Antonia Rivera W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/06 | Laura Badia W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Laura Pigossi vs Maria Florencia Urrutia?
Our model gives 56% to Laura Pigossi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.