Tennis · W15 Nogent-sur-Marne · 23/07, 10:00
Prediction: Kateryna Diatlova vs Marie Mattel
Prediction summary
Winner
Kateryna Diatlova
Marie Mattel
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Kateryna Diatlova
4-6 (W-L)
Marie Mattel
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kateryna Diatlova 1497 · Marie Mattel 1515
| Kateryna Diatlova | Marie Mattel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Kateryna Diatlova | Marie Mattel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-12.6 | 10-8 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 66.3% | 67.3% |
| Break % | 38.4% | 49.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kateryna Diatlova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Ania Hertel W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 29/06 | Ann Akasha Ceuca W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Ui Su Jeong W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 04/06 | Alana Subasic W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Nicole Giannini W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/05 | Asylzhan Arystanbekova W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Ashmitha Easwaramurthi W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/04 | Isabella Shinikova W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 09/04 | Laima Vladson W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 08/04 | Nina Sozaonova W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Marie Mattel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Hena Cehajic W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/04 | Amandine Monnot W75 Calvi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/04 | Jana Otzipka W75 Calvi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/03 | Kira Pavlova W50 Nantes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/03 | Alicia Dudeney W15 Hagetmau · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/03 | Tegan Bush W15 Hagetmau · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-2 | W |
| 03/03 | Astrid Cirotte W15 Hagetmau · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/03 | Julie Myatovic W15 Hagetmau · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 01/03 | Sena Yoon W15 Hagetmau · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 16/02 | Lucia Cortez Llorca W50 Macon · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kateryna Diatlova vs Marie Mattel?
Our model gives 59% to Marie Mattel, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.