Tennis · W15 Nogent-sur-Marne · 23/07, 10:00
Prediction: Sarah Iliev vs Marcelina Podlinska
Prediction summary
Winner
Sarah Iliev
Marcelina Podlinska
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Sarah Iliev
4-6 (W-L)
Marcelina Podlinska
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sarah Iliev 1469 · Marcelina Podlinska 1509
| Sarah Iliev | Marcelina Podlinska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marcelina Podlinska (rating 1469 vs 1509).
Statistics
| Sarah Iliev | Marcelina Podlinska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (6) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-10 | 10.5-10.6 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 58.4% | 55.8% |
| Break % | 40.3% | 61.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sarah Iliev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Ylenia Zocco W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Greta Rizzetto W35 Torino |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Loes Ebeling Koning W75 The Hague |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 05/07 | Ipek Oz W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 8-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Mina Hodzic W75 Blois · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Emma Lene W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 05/06 | Elina Nepliy W15 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Natalia Klys W15 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/05 | Eva Marie Voracek W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Cristina Diaz Adrover W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Marcelina Podlinska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Alice Soulie W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/07 | Tena Lukas W100 Aschaffenburg |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 01/07 | Emilija Tverijonaite W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Polina Bakhmutkina W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/06 | Nadia Affelt W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Briana Szabo W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 17/06 | Daria Gorska W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 06/05 | Lucie Nguyen Tan W75 Saint-Gaudens · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/05 | Astrid Lew Yan Foon W75 Saint-Gaudens · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sarah Iliev vs Marcelina Podlinska?
Our model gives 51% to Sarah Iliev, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.