Tennis · Challenger Bloomfield Hills MD · 23/07, 18:00
Prediction: Puttergill/Sweeny vs Reynolds/Watt
Prediction summary
Winner
Puttergill/Sweeny
Reynolds/Watt
Estimated games
23.9
Recent form · 10 last
Puttergill/Sweeny
5-5 (W-L)
Reynolds/Watt
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Puttergill/Sweeny 1486 · Reynolds/Watt 1594
| Puttergill/Sweeny | Reynolds/Watt | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Reynolds/Watt (rating 1486 vs 1594).
- Reynolds/Watt is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Puttergill/Sweeny | Reynolds/Watt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.9-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-13.6 | 14-10.7 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 3 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 68.3% | 77.9% |
| Break % | 41.1% | 32.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Puttergill/Sweeny
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Jung/King Challenger Bloomfield Hills MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/05 | Maginley/Shick Challenger Little Rock MD · Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 07/05 | Ayeni/Smith Challenger Wuxi MD · Hard |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 06/05 | Sun/Tang Challenger Wuxi MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/04 | Jones/Paris Challenger Jiujiang MD · Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 24/04 | Rojer/Winegar Challenger Gwangju MD · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/04 | Bolt/Delaney Challenger Gwangju MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/04 | Rojer/Winegar Challenger Busan MD · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/04 | Pearson/Walton Challenger Busan MD · Hard |
2-1 | 21-18 | W |
| 29/11 | Chandrasekar/Stalder Challenger Playford MD · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Reynolds/Watt
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Bayldon/Harper Challenger Bloomfield Hills MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/07 | Dalmasso/Kuhar Challenger Granby MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/07 | Poling/Trotter Challenger Granby MD · Hard |
2-1 | 22-16 | W |
| 16/07 | Bianchi/Magadan Challenger Granby MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/07 | Friend/Zink Challenger Granby MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/07 | Romboli/Smith Challenger Newport MD · Grass |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/07 | Isaro/Kaliyanda Poonacha Challenger Newport MD · Grass |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
| 10/07 | Broady/Myneni Challenger Newport MD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/07 | Pearson/Puttergill Challenger Newport MD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/07 | Nam/Niklas-Salminen Challenger Cary MD · Hard |
1-2 | 20-22 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Puttergill/Sweeny vs Reynolds/Watt?
Our model gives 66% to Reynolds/Watt, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.