Tennis · Challenger Bloomfield Hills MD · 22/07, 16:00
Prediction: Bayldon/Harper vs Reynolds/Watt
Prediction summary
Winner
Bayldon/Harper
Reynolds/Watt
Estimated games
24.8
Recent form · 10 last
Bayldon/Harper
5-5 (W-L)
Reynolds/Watt
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bayldon/Harper 1520 · Reynolds/Watt 1616
| Bayldon/Harper | Reynolds/Watt | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Reynolds/Watt (rating 1520 vs 1616).
- Reynolds/Watt is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Bayldon/Harper | Reynolds/Watt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.9-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-13.2 | 14-10.6 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 3 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 74% | 76.8% |
| Break % | 41.3% | 34.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bayldon/Harper
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Goldhoff/Harper Challenger Lincoln MD · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Imamura/Noguchi Challenger Lincoln MD · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 15/07 | Fuchs/Thayne Challenger Lincoln MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/06 | Mackinlay/Whitehouse Challenger Dublin MD · Grass |
1-2 | 20-24 | L |
| 18/06 | Added/Hands Challenger Dublin MD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Ficovich/Mejia Challenger Dublin MD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/01 | King/Peers ATP Adelaide MD · Hard |
1-2 | 16-21 | L |
| 10/01 | Kiger/Stalder Challenger Canberra MD · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/01 | Paris/Willis Challenger Canberra MD · Hard |
2-1 | 21-18 | W |
| 06/01 | Bailly/Blockx Challenger Canberra MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Reynolds/Watt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Dalmasso/Kuhar Challenger Granby MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/07 | Poling/Trotter Challenger Granby MD · Hard |
2-1 | 22-16 | W |
| 16/07 | Bianchi/Magadan Challenger Granby MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/07 | Friend/Zink Challenger Granby MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/07 | Romboli/Smith Challenger Newport MD · Grass |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/07 | Isaro/Kaliyanda Poonacha Challenger Newport MD · Grass |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
| 10/07 | Broady/Myneni Challenger Newport MD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/07 | Pearson/Puttergill Challenger Newport MD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/07 | Nam/Niklas-Salminen Challenger Cary MD · Hard |
1-2 | 20-22 | L |
| 05/07 | Harper/Hilderbrand Challenger Cary MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bayldon/Harper vs Reynolds/Watt?
Our model gives 68% to Reynolds/Watt, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.