Tennis · W35 Santa Fe · 22/07, 18:00
Prediction: Antonia Rivera vs Taylor Gruber
Prediction summary
Winner
Antonia Rivera
Taylor Gruber
Estimated games
19.3
Recent form · 10 last
Antonia Rivera
8-2 (W-L)
Taylor Gruber
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Antonia Rivera 1603 · Taylor Gruber 1418
| Antonia Rivera | Taylor Gruber | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 74% | 26% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Antonia Rivera (rating 1603 vs 1418).
- Antonia Rivera is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Taylor Gruber makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Antonia Rivera | Taylor Gruber | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 0.4-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-8.5 | 5.2-10.5 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 1 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 60.4% | 52.6% |
| Break % | 68.3% | 19.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Antonia Rivera
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Leyla Fiorella Britez Risso W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Chiara Di Genova W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Jennifer Rosa Dourado W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/06 | Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele W15 Luque · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 20/06 | Leyla Fiorella Britez Risso W15 Luque · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 19/06 | Josefina Estevez W15 Luque · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/06 | Alisa Danilova W15 Luque · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/06 | Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin W15 Luque · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 14/06 | Carolina Alves W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 13/06 | Martina Capurro Taborda W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Taylor Gruber
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Yulia Zhytelna W35 Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/04 | Jenna Dean W15 Bonita Springs · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/02 | Isabella Kruger UTR Pro Henderson Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 24/02 | Skylar Kasday UTR Pro Henderson Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/02 | Adelie Osher UTR Pro Henderson Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/10 | Daria Smetannikov UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/10 | Susana Souhrada UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/10 | Paula Cerda UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Tilde Stromquist UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Ena Koike ITF W100 Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Antonia Rivera vs Taylor Gruber?
Our model gives 83% to Antonia Rivera, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.