Tennis · W35 Santa Fe · 22/07, 19:30
Prediction: Kate Fakih vs Maria Kononova
Prediction summary
Winner
Kate Fakih
Maria Kononova
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Kate Fakih
6-4 (W-L)
Maria Kononova
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kate Fakih 1512 · Maria Kononova 1467
| Kate Fakih | Maria Kononova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kate Fakih (rating 1512 vs 1467).
- Note: Kate Fakih makes many double faults (4.4/match).
- Note: Maria Kononova makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Kate Fakih | Maria Kononova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-9.6 | 10.1-11.1 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 62.3% | 62.3% |
| Break % | 48% | 45.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kate Fakih
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Jo Yee Chan W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 08/07 | Sophia Webster W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/07 | Alina Shcherbinina W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/07 | Annabelle Xu W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/07 | Maria Aytoyan W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 02/07 | Kelly Keller W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Brandelyn Fulgenzi W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Stefania Rogozinska-Dzik W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
0-1 | 4-6 | L |
| 04/06 | Ava Hrastar W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Lily Taylor W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Maria Kononova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Anna Grigoreva W35 Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/07 | Christasha McNeil W35 Dallas |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Elena Mireles W35 Dallas |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 14/07 | Diae El Jardi W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Lily Fairclough W35 Rome |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Lea Ma W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Carolina Gomez W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Martina Okalova W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 01/06 | Maya Iyengar W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 26/05 | Lillian Santos W35 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kate Fakih vs Maria Kononova?
Our model gives 67% to Kate Fakih, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.