Tennis · M25 Champaign · 22/07, 20:00
Prediction: Marko Miladinovic vs Alejandro Moreno
Prediction summary
Winner
Marko Miladinovic
Alejandro Moreno
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Marko Miladinovic
4-6 (W-L)
Alejandro Moreno
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marko Miladinovic 1461 · Alejandro Moreno 1540
| Marko Miladinovic | Alejandro Moreno | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alejandro Moreno (rating 1461 vs 1540).
- Alejandro Moreno is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Marko Miladinovic | Alejandro Moreno | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-11.2 | 10.9-9.1 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 61.4% | 66.8% |
| Break % | 40.8% | 37.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marko Miladinovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Dylan Long M25 Louisville |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 02/07 | Stian Klaassen M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Oliver Ojakaar M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Maximus Dussault M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Tyler Bowers M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/05 | Duje Ajdukovic M25 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Caheer Warik M25 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/05 | Nikita Mashtakov M25 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/05 | William Rejchtman Vinciguerra M25 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/05 | Toby Martin M25 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Alejandro Moreno
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Ethan Muza M25 Champaign |
2-1 | 10-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Aleksa Ciric M25 Louisville |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Oliver Okonkwo M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Adam Faragcao M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/06 | David Krasner UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 24/06 | Gabe Avram UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 23/06 | Mason Landreth UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/11 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/11 | Pablo Martinez Gomez Challenger Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/10 | Julien Doitteau UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marko Miladinovic vs Alejandro Moreno?
Our model gives 51% to Marko Miladinovic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.