Tennis · M25 Champaign · 22/07, 18:30
Prediction: Ilyas Milad Fahim vs Hiroki Sakagawa
Prediction summary
Winner
Ilyas Milad Fahim
Hiroki Sakagawa
Estimated games
19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ilyas Milad Fahim
5-5 (W-L)
Hiroki Sakagawa
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ilyas Milad Fahim 1515 · Hiroki Sakagawa 1513
| Ilyas Milad Fahim | Hiroki Sakagawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Ilyas Milad Fahim makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Ilyas Milad Fahim | Hiroki Sakagawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10.3 | 8.3-8.1 |
| Aces | 2 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 61.9% | 57.4% |
| Break % | 48.3% | 52% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ilyas Milad Fahim
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Michael Antonius M15 Rochester |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Dakotah Bobo M15 Rochester |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/07 | Kayden Colombo M15 Rochester |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/07 | Simon Caldwell M15 Rochester |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 18/06 | Jeffrey John Wolf M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 17/06 | James Trotter M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 16/06 | Jack Loutit M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/06 | Matisse Farzam M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/05 | Nick Hardt M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/05 | Roberto Cid Subervi M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Hiroki Sakagawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Tygen Goldammer M25 Champaign |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/07 | Emon Van Loben Sels M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Roshan Santhosh M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Constantinos Djakouris M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 25/06 | Aidan Kim M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Roshan Santhosh M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Nathan Cox M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-6 | W |
| 16/12 | Ilya Snitari UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/12 | Ford McCollum UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 06/12 | Naara Shin UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ilyas Milad Fahim vs Hiroki Sakagawa?
Our model gives 57% to Ilyas Milad Fahim, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.