Tennis · W75 Vacaria · 22/07, 18:00
Prediction: Berta Bonardi vs Rebeca Pereira
Prediction summary
Winner
Berta Bonardi
Rebeca Pereira
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Berta Bonardi
2-8 (W-L)
Rebeca Pereira
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Berta Bonardi
1–0
Rebeca Pereira
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Berta Bonardi 1440 · Rebeca Pereira 1483
| Berta Bonardi | Rebeca Pereira | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rebeca Pereira (rating 1440 vs 1483).
- Head-to-head: Berta Bonardi 1–0 Rebeca Pereira (1).
Statistics
| Berta Bonardi | Rebeca Pereira | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.5 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 8-10.7 | 10.2-10.5 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 51.8% | 55.2% |
| Break % | 52.4% | 39.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
H2H · Berta Bonardi 1 – 0 Rebeca Pereira (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Berta Bonardi 1–0 Rebeca Pereira
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11/24 W15 Asuncion | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Berta Bonardi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Carolina Alves W35 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Carolyn Ansari W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Min Liu W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 16/06 | Yihan Qu W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Alevtina Ibragimova W35 Nice |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/06 | Berta Passola W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Caterina Odorizzi W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/05 | Ariana Arseneault W35 Estepona · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Jordina Font W35 Estepona · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/05 | Marta Soriano Santiago W15 Monzon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Rebeca Pereira
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Catarina M I Melleiro Junior W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 20/07 | Isabela De Mattos Silva W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/07 | Helena Bueno W35 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Romina Ccuno W15 Rio Claro |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 11/06 | Martina Capurro Taborda W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Sofia Cohen Perovani W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/06 | Laura Badia W15 Brasilia |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 30/03 | Emily Zornada W35 Junin · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-11 | L |
| 24/03 | Jaedan Brown W35 Junin · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/03 | Emily Zornada W35 Junin · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Berta Bonardi vs Rebeca Pereira?
Our model gives 62% to Berta Bonardi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.