Tennis · W75 Vacaria · 22/07, 22:00
Prediction: Maria Florencia Urrutia vs Isabella Barrera Aguirre
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Florencia Urrutia
Isabella Barrera Aguirre
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Florencia Urrutia
5-5 (W-L)
Isabella Barrera Aguirre
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Maria Florencia Urrutia
2–0
Isabella Barrera Aguirre
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Florencia Urrutia 1547 · Isabella Barrera Aguirre 1483
| Maria Florencia Urrutia | Isabella Barrera Aguirre | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maria Florencia Urrutia (rating 1547 vs 1483).
- Head-to-head: Maria Florencia Urrutia 2–0 Isabella Barrera Aguirre (2).
- Note: Isabella Barrera Aguirre makes many double faults (7/match).
Statistics
| Maria Florencia Urrutia | Isabella Barrera Aguirre | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.4-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-9.3 | 12.5-11.7 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 7 |
| 1st serve % | 57.1% | 59.2% |
| Break % | 49.4% | 46.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
H2H · Maria Florencia Urrutia 2 – 0 Isabella Barrera Aguirre (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maria Florencia Urrutia 2–0 Isabella Barrera Aguirre
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/26 W15 Luque | 2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 13/05/26 W35 Bethany Beach | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Florencia Urrutia
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Valentina Steiner W50 Darmstadt |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 06/07 | Kailey Evans W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 20/06 | Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele W15 Luque · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 19/06 | Maria F Herazo Gonzalez W15 Luque · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/06 | Isabella Barrera Aguirre W15 Luque · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 17/06 | Jennifer Rosa Dourado W15 Luque · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 12/06 | Antonia Rivera W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/06 | Laura Badia W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 22/05 | Katrina Scott W50 Pelham · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-8 | L |
Isabella Barrera Aguirre
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Romina Ccuno W75 Vacaria |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 14/07 | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez W35 Sao Paulo |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 10/07 | Luiza Fullana W15 Rio Claro |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 09/07 | Maria Luisa Oliveira W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/07 | Agustina Soto Neira W15 Rio Claro |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/06 | Camila Romero W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Maria Florencia Urrutia W15 Luque · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 16/06 | Catarina M I Melleiro Junior W15 Luque · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/05 | Kaitlyn Carnicella W50 Pelham · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 18/05 | Jenelle Roberts W50 Pelham · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Florencia Urrutia vs Isabella Barrera Aguirre?
Our model gives 70% to Maria Florencia Urrutia, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.