Tennis · WTA Prague · 23/07, 10:00
Prediction: Lucie Havlickova vs Barbora Krejcikova
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucie Havlickova
Barbora Krejcikova
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Lucie Havlickova
6-4 (W-L)
Barbora Krejcikova
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucie Havlickova 1488 · Barbora Krejcikova 1611
| Lucie Havlickova | Barbora Krejcikova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 67% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Barbora Krejcikova (rating 1488 vs 1611).
- Barbora Krejcikova is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Lucie Havlickova makes many double faults (7.8/match).
- Note: Barbora Krejcikova makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Lucie Havlickova | Barbora Krejcikova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 100% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.9-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-11.8 | 13.4-8.7 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 7.8 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 68.1% | 68.6% |
| Break % | 59.7% | 57.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucie Havlickova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Alycia Parks WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Harmony Tan WTA Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 07/07 | Nao Hibino W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Stephanie Judith Visscher W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 01/07 | Maria Garcia W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/06 | Maria Lourdes Carle Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 12/06 | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 11/06 | Jana Kovackova W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 10/06 | Hibah Shaikh W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/06 | Yasmine Kabbaj WTA Makarska · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Barbora Krejcikova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Linda Fruhvirtova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/07 | Maria Sakkari WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/07 | Clara Tauson WTA Athens · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 17/07 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/07 | Carole Monnet WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/07 | Viktoriya Tomova WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/07 | Karolina Muchova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 03/07 | Nikola Bartunkova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Mirra Andreeva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 29/06 | Hannah Klugman Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucie Havlickova vs Barbora Krejcikova?
Our model gives 75% to Barbora Krejcikova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

