Tennis · WTA Prague · 23/07, 10:00

Prediction: Lucie Havlickova vs Barbora Krejcikova

Prediction summary
Winner
25% 75%
Lucie Havlickova Barbora Krejcikova
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Lucie Havlickova 6-4 (W-L)
LWWWLWLLWW
Barbora Krejcikova 8-2 (W-L)
WLWLWWWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lucie Havlickova 1488 · Barbora Krejcikova 1611
Lucie HavlickovaBarbora Krejcikova
Our model33%67%
Market19%81%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Barbora Krejcikova (rating 1488 vs 1611).
  • Barbora Krejcikova is in better form: 90% recent wins.
  • Note: Lucie Havlickova makes many double faults (7.8/match).
  • Note: Barbora Krejcikova makes many double faults (4.6/match).

Statistics

Lucie HavlickovaBarbora Krejcikova
Win %40%90%
Win % · Hard 50% (4) 100% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.31.9-0.4
Games (G-P)12.1-11.813.4-8.7
Aces2.33.1
Double faults7.84.6
1st serve %68.1%68.6%
Break %59.7%57.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lucie Havlickova

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/07 Alycia Parks
WTA Prague · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
14/07 Harmony Tan
WTA Istanbul · Hard
1-2 13-18 L
07/07 Nao Hibino
W50 Corroios-Seixal
0-2 4-12 L
02/07 Stephanie Judith Visscher
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
0-2 10-14 L
01/07 Maria Garcia
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
23/06 Maria Lourdes Carle
Wimbledon Women · Grass
1-2 16-18 L
12/06 Caijsa Wilda Hennemann
W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
1-2 13-17 L
11/06 Jana Kovackova
W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
2-1 18-12 W
10/06 Hibah Shaikh
W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
04/06 Yasmine Kabbaj
WTA Makarska · Clay
0-2 11-14 L

Barbora Krejcikova

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/07 Linda Fruhvirtova
WTA Prague · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
19/07 Maria Sakkari
WTA Athens · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
18/07 Clara Tauson
WTA Athens · Hard
2-1 16-10 W
17/07 Qinwen Zheng
WTA Athens · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
16/07 Carole Monnet
WTA Athens · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
14/07 Viktoriya Tomova
WTA Athens · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
05/07 Karolina Muchova
Wimbledon Women · Grass
1-2 15-18 L
03/07 Nikola Bartunkova
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 13-8 W
01/07 Mirra Andreeva
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-1 17-15 W
29/06 Hannah Klugman
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lucie Havlickova vs Barbora Krejcikova?

Our model gives 75% to Barbora Krejcikova, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.