Tennis · WTA Prague · 24/07, 11:00
Prediction: Marie Bouzkova vs Tereza Valentova
Prediction summary
Winner
Marie Bouzkova
Tereza Valentova
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Marie Bouzkova
8-2 (W-L)
Tereza Valentova
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Marie Bouzkova
2–0
Tereza Valentova
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marie Bouzkova 1607 · Tereza Valentova 1505
| Marie Bouzkova | Tereza Valentova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 60% | 40% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marie Bouzkova (rating 1607 vs 1505).
- Marie Bouzkova is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Marie Bouzkova 2–0 Tereza Valentova (2).
- Note: Tereza Valentova makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Marie Bouzkova | Tereza Valentova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 88% (8) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.5 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-9.5 | 11.4-10.1 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 68.4% | 64.6% |
| Break % | 38.8% | 55.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
H2H · Marie Bouzkova 2 – 0 Tereza Valentova (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marie Bouzkova 2–0 Tereza Valentova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06/26 WTA Nottingham | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/07/25 WTA Prague | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marie Bouzkova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/07 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 06/07 | Elise Mertens Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Ludmilla Samsonova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 02/07 | Tyra Caterina Grant Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Talia Gibson Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 21/06 | Emma Navarro WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 20/06 | Karolina Pliskova WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/06 | Tatjana Maria WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 18/06 | Hannah Klugman WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Tereza Valentova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Maya Joint WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/07 | Priscilla Hon WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/07 | Alina Korneeva WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Sofia Costoulas WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Karolina Pliskova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Tatjana Maria WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Ajla Tomljanovic WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 22/06 | Hannah Klugman WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 15/06 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marie Bouzkova vs Tereza Valentova?
Our model gives 62% to Marie Bouzkova, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.