Tennis · WTA Prague · 22/07, 11:00
Prediction: Maria Timofeeva vs Sara Bejlek
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Timofeeva
Sara Bejlek
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Timofeeva
7-3 (W-L)
Sara Bejlek
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Timofeeva 1557 · Sara Bejlek 1492
| Maria Timofeeva | Sara Bejlek | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maria Timofeeva (rating 1557 vs 1492).
Statistics
| Maria Timofeeva | Sara Bejlek | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 67% (6) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-8.3 | 10.4-10.9 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 61.3% | 56.7% |
| Break % | 45.2% | 49.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Timofeeva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Ann Li WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Elise Mertens Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 30/06 | Beatriz Haddad Maia Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Heather Watson Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Veronika Podrez Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Whitney Osuigwe Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Renata Zarazua WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Darja Semenistaja WTA Makarska · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/06 | Sara Sorribes Tormo WTA Makarska · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Sara Bejlek
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Anna Blinkova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 17/07 | Clara Tauson WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Lilli Tagger WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/07 | Viktoria Morvayova WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Sorana Cirstea Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Laura Siegemund WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 16/06 | Karolina Pliskova WTA Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 09/06 | Dayana Yastremska WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Iga Swiatek French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/05 | Sloane Stephens French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Timofeeva vs Sara Bejlek?
Our model gives 54% to Sara Bejlek, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.