Tennis · W75 Cordenons · 23/07, 10:00
Prediction: Francesca Pace vs Martina Trevisan
Prediction summary
Winner
Francesca Pace
Martina Trevisan
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Francesca Pace
4-6 (W-L)
Martina Trevisan
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesca Pace 1452 · Martina Trevisan 1550
| Francesca Pace | Martina Trevisan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Martina Trevisan (rating 1452 vs 1550).
- Martina Trevisan is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Francesca Pace makes many double faults (4.3/match).
- Note: Martina Trevisan makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Francesca Pace | Martina Trevisan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (8) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-10.4 | 11.2-8.2 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 59.7% | 62.6% |
| Break % | 49.8% | 54.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesca Pace
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Beatrice Ricci W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/07 | Eva Vedder WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Pia Lovric W35 Buzau |
0-2 | 2-8 | L |
| 02/07 | Weronika Falkowska W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 01/07 | Dune Vaissaud W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Jazmin Ortenzi WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Victoria Bosio WTA Modena · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 04/06 | Dalila Spiteri W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-9 | L |
| 03/06 | Luisina Giovannini W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/05 | Gina Marie Dittmann W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Martina Trevisan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/07 | Francesca Jones WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 17/07 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 16/07 | Aurora Zantedeschi WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Tyra Caterina Grant WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/07 | Julia Riera W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Katerina Tsygourova W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 07/07 | Victoria Pohle W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/07 | Ania Hertel W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/06 | Taylor Townsend WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesca Pace vs Martina Trevisan?
Our model gives 71% to Martina Trevisan, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.