Tennis · W75 Cordenons · 23/07, 18:30

Prediction: Francesca Curmi vs Martina Trevisan

Prediction summary
Winner
51% 49%
Francesca Curmi Martina Trevisan
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Francesca Curmi 7-3 (W-L)
WWWLWWWLWL
Martina Trevisan 8-2 (W-L)
WWWLWWLWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Francesca Curmi 1576 · Martina Trevisan 1564
Francesca CurmiMartina Trevisan
Our model52%48%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Martina Trevisan makes many double faults (5/match).

Statistics

Francesca CurmiMartina Trevisan
Win %80%80%
Win % · Clay 75% (4) 75% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.51.7-0.6
Games (G-P)11.1-7.711.8-7.5
Aces0.30.3
Double faults1.35
1st serve %59.6%64%
Break %50.6%57.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 20

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Francesca Curmi

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/07 Katerina Tsygourova
W75 Cordenons
2-1 17-12 W
21/07 Pia Lovric
W75 Cordenons
2-0 12-4 W
18/07 Nastasja Schunk
W50 Darmstadt
0-2 5-12 L
17/07 Xinxin Yao
W50 Darmstadt
2-0 13-7 W
16/07 Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
W50 Darmstadt
2-0 12-3 W
14/07 Fernanda Labrana
W50 Darmstadt
2-0 12-4 W
10/07 Jeline Vandromme
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
08/07 Rebeka Masarova
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
2-0 12-8 W
06/07 Oceane Dodin
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
20/06 Alevtina Ibragimova
W75 Blois · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W

Martina Trevisan

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/07 Francesca Pace
W75 Cordenons
2-0 12-5 W
21/07 Elena Ruxandra Bertea
W75 Cordenons
2-0 12-7 W
18/07 Francesca Jones
WTA Rome · Clay
1-2 8-14 L
17/07 Elizara Yaneva
WTA Rome · Clay
2-1 16-10 W
16/07 Aurora Zantedeschi
WTA Rome · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
14/07 Tyra Caterina Grant
WTA Rome · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
09/07 Julia Riera
W100 Aschaffenburg
0-2 5-12 L
08/07 Katerina Tsygourova
W100 Aschaffenburg
2-1 16-12 W
07/07 Victoria Pohle
W100 Aschaffenburg
2-0 12-2 W
06/07 Ania Hertel
W100 Aschaffenburg
2-0 12-3 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Francesca Curmi vs Martina Trevisan?

Our model gives 51% to Francesca Curmi, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.