Tennis · UTR Pro Waco Women · 23/07, 19:30
Prediction: Elena Mireles vs Zimora Mcknight
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Prediction summary
Winner
Elena Mireles
Zimora Mcknight
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Elena Mireles
5-5 (W-L)
Zimora Mcknight
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elena Mireles 1516 · Zimora Mcknight 1441
| Elena Mireles | Zimora Mcknight | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Elena Mireles (rating 1516 vs 1441).
Statistics
| Elena Mireles | Zimora Mcknight | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-11.5 | 8.8-12.3 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 59.9% | 52.6% |
| Break % | 40.8% | 34.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elena Mireles
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Zuzanna Kubacha UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Alyson Shannon UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 15/07 | Maria Kononova W35 Dallas |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 27/06 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 26/06 | Ishika Ashar UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Brenda Yoris UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Gabrielle Villegas UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Isabella Basson UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 06/12 | Sophie Llewellyn UTR Pro Dallas Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/12 | Addison Yang Comiskey UTR Pro Dallas Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Zimora Mcknight
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Alyson Shannon UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Zuzanna Kubacha UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Lexington Reed W35 Dallas |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 26/04 | Joanna Kennedy UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 25/04 | Maria Aytoyan UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 25/04 | Ariana Gilbert UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 23/04 | Emerey Gross UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/04 | Alina Shcherbinina UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/04 | Amy Lee UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 23/11 | Luna Ivkovic UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elena Mireles vs Zimora Mcknight?
Our model gives 68% to Elena Mireles, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.