Tennis · UTR Pro Waco Women · 25/07, 16:00
Prediction: Zuzanna Kubacha vs Kira Matushkina
Prediction summary
Winner
Zuzanna Kubacha
Kira Matushkina
Estimated games
18.7
Recent form · 10 last
Zuzanna Kubacha
8-2 (W-L)
Kira Matushkina
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zuzanna Kubacha 1624 · Kira Matushkina 1523
| Zuzanna Kubacha | Kira Matushkina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zuzanna Kubacha (rating 1624 vs 1523).
- Zuzanna Kubacha is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Zuzanna Kubacha | Kira Matushkina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.3 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-5.3 | 9.6-8.5 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 73.5% | 56.7% |
| Break % | 60.5% | 49.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
18.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zuzanna Kubacha
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Claire An UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 23/07 | Alyson Shannon UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/07 | Elena Mireles UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/07 | Zimora Mcknight UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/06 | Ishika Ashar UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/06 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Lani Brotman UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Daria Budko UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/06 | Ella Brownback UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/07 | Eva Oxford UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Kira Matushkina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Gloriana Nahum UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/07 | Lani Brotman UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/07 | Zoie Epps UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/07 | Alian Zack UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 15/07 | Alina Shcherbinina W35 Dallas |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Katherine Hui W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Rebecca Marino W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Capucine Jauffret W50 Columbus |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 06/07 | Amiya Bowles W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 27/05 | Lea Ma W35 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zuzanna Kubacha vs Kira Matushkina?
Our model gives 67% to Zuzanna Kubacha, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.