Tennis · W35 Gentofte · 23/07, 10:00

Prediction: Isabel Skoog vs Yara Bartashevich

Prediction summary
Winner
41% 59%
Isabel Skoog Yara Bartashevich
Estimated games
23.8
Recent form · 10 last
Isabel Skoog 5-5 (W-L)
LLLWWWLWWL
Yara Bartashevich 4-6 (W-L)
LLWWWLLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Isabel Skoog 1535 · Yara Bartashevich 1460
Isabel SkoogYara Bartashevich
Our model61%39%
Market25%75%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Isabel Skoog (rating 1535 vs 1460).
  • Isabel Skoog is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Isabel Skoog makes many double faults (5/match).

Statistics

Isabel SkoogYara Bartashevich
Win %70%40%
Win % · Clay 50% (4) 29% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.5-1.10.9-1.3
Games (G-P)13.8-12.610.1-11
Aces0.62.7
Double faults53.9
1st serve %53.4%63%
Break %57.7%49%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Isabel Skoog

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/07 Maileen Nuudi
W35 Gentofte
2-1 13-16 W
20/07 Oriana Gniewkowska
W35 Gentofte
2-0 13-8 W
19/07 Sarah Hartel
W35 Gentofte
2-0 12-1 W
15/07 Xinxin Yao
W50 Darmstadt
0-2 7-13 L
14/07 Sina Herrmann
W50 Darmstadt
2-1 17-15 W
13/07 Mara Guth
W50 Darmstadt
2-1 19-14 W
18/06 Valentina Ivanov
W35 Ystad · ~Clay
1-2 14-17 L
17/06 June Bjork
W35 Ystad · ~Clay
2-1 15-13 W
15/05 Lea Nilsson
W35 Bastad · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
14/05 Alina Granwehr
W35 Bastad · ~Clay
2-1 19-16 W

Yara Bartashevich

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/07 Emma Kamper
W35 Gentofte
2-1 17-16 W
16/07 Katerina Tsygourova
W35 Torino
0-2 6-13 L
14/07 Oana Georgeta Simion
W35 Torino
2-0 13-8 W
05/07 Maria Sara Popa
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
01/07 Madison Sieg
W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
30/06 Romane Longueville
W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
16/06 Sofya Lansere
W75 Blois · ~Clay
1-2 13-17 L
15/06 Anastasia Mozgaleva
W75 Blois · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
26/05 Sara Mikaca
W35 Bol · ~Clay
0-2 3-8 L
20/05 Lea Nilsson
W35 Bol · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Isabel Skoog vs Yara Bartashevich?

Our model gives 59% to Yara Bartashevich, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.