Tennis · WTA Prague · 23/07, 11:00
Prediction: Maya Joint vs Tereza Valentova
Prediction summary
Winner
Maya Joint
Tereza Valentova
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Maya Joint
6-4 (W-L)
Tereza Valentova
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Maya Joint
0–1
Tereza Valentova
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maya Joint 1454 · Tereza Valentova 1497
| Maya Joint | Tereza Valentova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 30% | 70% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tereza Valentova (rating 1454 vs 1497).
- Head-to-head: Maya Joint 0–1 Tereza Valentova (1).
- Note: Tereza Valentova makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Maya Joint | Tereza Valentova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 25% (4) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.6 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-13.1 | 11.8-11 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 52.7% | 63.1% |
| Break % | 46.4% | 56.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
H2H · Maya Joint 0 – 1 Tereza Valentova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maya Joint 0–1 Tereza Valentova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/01/26 Australian Open Women | 0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maya Joint
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Laura Samsonova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 02/07 | Alexandra Eala Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 30/06 | Serena Williams Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 22/06 | Emiliana Arango WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 04/06 | Yasmine Kabbaj WTA Makarska · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Makarska · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 25/05 | Anastasia Potapova French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/05 | Ann Li WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Chloe Paquet WTA Paris · Clay |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
Tereza Valentova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Priscilla Hon WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/07 | Alina Korneeva WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Sofia Costoulas WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Karolina Pliskova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Tatjana Maria WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Ajla Tomljanovic WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 22/06 | Hannah Klugman WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 15/06 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/05 | Magda Linette French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maya Joint vs Tereza Valentova?
Our model gives 64% to Tereza Valentova, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.