Tennis · W75 Cordenons · 22/07, 10:00
Prediction: Francesca Curmi vs Katerina Tsygourova
Prediction summary
Winner
Francesca Curmi
Katerina Tsygourova
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Francesca Curmi
7-3 (W-L)
Katerina Tsygourova
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesca Curmi 1592 · Katerina Tsygourova 1575
| Francesca Curmi | Katerina Tsygourova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Francesca Curmi | Katerina Tsygourova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (5) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.5 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-8 | 12-8.2 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 59.6% | 64.1% |
| Break % | 50.9% | 64.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesca Curmi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Pia Lovric W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/07 | Nastasja Schunk W50 Darmstadt |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Xinxin Yao W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/07 | Fernanda Labrana W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/07 | Jeline Vandromme WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Rebeka Masarova WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/07 | Oceane Dodin WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/06 | Alevtina Ibragimova W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/06 | Ipek Oz W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
Katerina Tsygourova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Arianna Zucchini W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/07 | Justine Bretnacher W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/07 | Beatrice Ricci W35 Torino |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Carlota Martinez Cirez W35 Torino |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 16/07 | Yara Bartashevich W35 Torino |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Marie Weckerle W35 Torino |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Martina Trevisan W100 Aschaffenburg |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Laura Hietaranta W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/07 | Fernanda Labrana W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/06 | Alja Senica W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesca Curmi vs Katerina Tsygourova?
Our model gives 66% to Francesca Curmi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.