Tennis · M15 Brisbane · 22/07, 02:00
Prediction: Ashton Mcleod vs Duje Markovina
Prediction summary
Winner
Ashton Mcleod
Duje Markovina
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Ashton Mcleod
6-4 (W-L)
Duje Markovina
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ashton Mcleod 1496 · Duje Markovina 1489
| Ashton Mcleod | Duje Markovina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Ashton Mcleod makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Ashton Mcleod | Duje Markovina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-10 | 10.5-10.8 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 65.8% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 49.7% | 33% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ashton Mcleod
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Nikita Volonski M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/06 | Jera Staley UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Eric Tripathi UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Nikita Volonski UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Luca Connaughton UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Jeremy Beale UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 04/06 | Jake Delaney M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-9 | L |
| 02/06 | Chan-Yeong Oh M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/05 | Yan Cheng Chen M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 28/05 | Aoran Wang M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 8-4 | W |
Duje Markovina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Jake Delaney M25 Brisbane |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Jan Kumstat M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/06 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Taym Alazmeh M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
0-1 | 11-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Marc Majdandzic M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 02/06 | Enrique Bogo M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 29/05 | Duje Ajdukovic M25 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/05 | Iannis Miletich M25 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ashton Mcleod vs Duje Markovina?
Our model gives 60% to Duje Markovina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.