Tennis · M15 Brisbane · 30/07, 02:00
Prediction: Jeremy Zhang vs Jake Delaney
Team pages: Jeremy Zhang · Jake Delaney
Prediction summary
Winner
Jeremy Zhang
Jake Delaney
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Jeremy Zhang
7-3 (W-L)
Jake Delaney
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jeremy Zhang
0–1
Jake Delaney
(1 last)
- 13 Aug0-2 8-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jeremy Zhang 1517 · Jake Delaney 1646
| Jeremy Zhang | Jake Delaney | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 68% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jake Delaney (rating 1517 vs 1646).
- Jake Delaney dominates on serve: 9.1 aces and 42.9% break avg.
- Jake Delaney is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Jeremy Zhang 0–1 Jake Delaney (1).
Statistics
| Jeremy Zhang | Jake Delaney | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.9-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-10.3 | 14.6-10.5 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 9.1 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 63% | 79.5% |
| Break % | 59.3% | 42.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
H2H · Jeremy Zhang 0 – 1 Jake Delaney (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jeremy Zhang 0–1 Jake Delaney
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08/25 M15 Brisbane | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jeremy Zhang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Hayden Jones M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 9-3 | W |
| 23/07 | Taiki Takizawa M15 Brisbane |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Tai Leonard Sach M15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 21/07 | Kazuma Kawachi M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Brisbane |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/11 | Aidan Mchugh Challenger Champaign · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 10/11 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Champaign · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/11 | Enzo Wallart Challenger Champaign · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/11 | Erik Arutiunian ITF M25 East Lansing · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/11 | Poonthong Komopisut ITF M25 East Lansing · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Jake Delaney
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Joshua Charlton M15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 26/07 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/07 | Duje Markovina M15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 24/07 | Taiki Takizawa M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Zachary Viiala M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/07 | Daisuke Sumizawa M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/07 | Matt Hulme M25 Brisbane |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 18/07 | Benjamin O'Connell M25 Brisbane |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 17/07 | Chase Ferguson M25 Brisbane |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 16/07 | Nikita Volonski M25 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jeremy Zhang vs Jake Delaney?
Our model gives 72% to Jake Delaney, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.