Tennis · M15 Brisbane · 22/07, 02:00
Prediction: Matt Hulme vs Wihan Van Der Merwe
Prediction summary
Winner
Matt Hulme
Wihan Van Der Merwe
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Matt Hulme
8-2 (W-L)
Wihan Van Der Merwe
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Matt Hulme
1–0
Wihan Van Der Merwe
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matt Hulme 1563 · Wihan Van Der Merwe 1528
| Matt Hulme | Wihan Van Der Merwe | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Matt Hulme dominates on serve: 6.6 aces and 54.8% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Matt Hulme 1–0 Wihan Van Der Merwe (1).
Statistics
| Matt Hulme | Wihan Van Der Merwe | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-11.4 | 10.5-9.3 |
| Aces | 6.6 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 69.1% | 66.3% |
| Break % | 54.8% | 47.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
H2H · Matt Hulme 1 – 0 Wihan Van Der Merwe (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Matt Hulme 1–0 Wihan Van Der Merwe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07/24 UTR Pro Craigieburn | 2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matt Hulme
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Jake Delaney M25 Brisbane |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 18/07 | Zachary Viiala M25 Brisbane |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 17/07 | Colin Sinclair M25 Brisbane |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 16/07 | Joshua Charlton M25 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Moerani Bouzige M25 Brisbane |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 14/07 | Sam Wensley M25 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/06 | Zane Stevens UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Finley Dyer UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Charlie Pade UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Marcus Schoeman UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Wihan Van Der Merwe
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Eric Tripathi M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Colin Sinclair M25 Brisbane |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Hudson Baxter M25 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/05 | Hugo Castello UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/05 | Lachlan King UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/05 | Jeremy Beale UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Nikolas Baker UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 12/05 | Jonas Hahn UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/05 | Arjun Balakrishnan UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/05 | Jera Staley UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
1-2 | 8-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matt Hulme vs Wihan Van Der Merwe?
Our model gives 70% to Matt Hulme, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.