Tennis · M25 Champaign · 21/07, 18:30
Prediction: Hiroki Sakagawa vs Tygen Goldammer
Prediction summary
Winner
Hiroki Sakagawa
Tygen Goldammer
Estimated games
19.3
Recent form · 10 last
Hiroki Sakagawa
4-6 (W-L)
Tygen Goldammer
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hiroki Sakagawa 1492 · Tygen Goldammer 1478
| Hiroki Sakagawa | Tygen Goldammer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Hiroki Sakagawa | Tygen Goldammer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.2-9 | 9.2-10.8 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 57.3% | 62.7% |
| Break % | 49.7% | 48.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hiroki Sakagawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Emon Van Loben Sels M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Roshan Santhosh M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Constantinos Djakouris M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 25/06 | Aidan Kim M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Roshan Santhosh M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Nathan Cox M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-6 | W |
| 16/12 | Ilya Snitari UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/12 | Ford McCollum UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 06/12 | Naara Shin UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 05/12 | Antreas Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Tygen Goldammer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05 | Louis Hull UTR Pro Tuscaloosa · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 22/05 | Tomas Jirousek UTR Pro Tuscaloosa · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/05 | James Newton UTR Pro Tuscaloosa · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Enzo Aguiard UTR Pro Tuscaloosa · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Theo Hegarty UTR Pro Tuscaloosa · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 12/05 | Davide Tortora M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
1-2 | 7-10 | L |
| 06/05 | Ryan Colby M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/05 | Anuj Watane M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-9 | W |
| 18/12 | John Bernard UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/12 | Alexander Bernard UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hiroki Sakagawa vs Tygen Goldammer?
Our model gives 59% to Hiroki Sakagawa, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.