Tennis · M25 Champaign · 21/07, 18:30
Prediction: Alejandro Moreno vs Ethan Muza
Prediction summary
Winner
Alejandro Moreno
Ethan Muza
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Alejandro Moreno
8-2 (W-L)
Ethan Muza
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alejandro Moreno
1–0
Ethan Muza
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alejandro Moreno 1545 · Ethan Muza 1522
| Alejandro Moreno | Ethan Muza | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Alejandro Moreno 1–0 Ethan Muza (1).
- Note: Ethan Muza makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Alejandro Moreno | Ethan Muza | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-8.8 | 11.5-9.7 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 68.9% | 65.6% |
| Break % | 38.4% | 46.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
H2H · Alejandro Moreno 1 – 0 Ethan Muza (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alejandro Moreno 1–0 Ethan Muza
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/21 UTR Pro Tennis Series Dallas | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alejandro Moreno
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Aleksa Ciric M25 Louisville |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Oliver Okonkwo M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Adam Faragcao M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/06 | David Krasner UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 24/06 | Gabe Avram UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 23/06 | Mason Landreth UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/11 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/11 | Pablo Martinez Gomez Challenger Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/10 | Julien Doitteau UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 31/08 | Alex Kuperstein UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Ethan Muza
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06 | Victor Tosetto M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-10 | L |
| 31/12 | Aleksa Ciric UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/12 | Andrew Delgado UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 29/12 | Cole Henceroth UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 28/12 | Paxton Pritchard UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 26/10 | Piotr Siekanowicz UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 25/10 | Tej Bhagra UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/10 | Jan Kobierski UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 24/10 | Simon Caldwell UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 23/10 | Nicolas Oliveira UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alejandro Moreno vs Ethan Muza?
Our model gives 69% to Alejandro Moreno, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.