Tennis · W35 Gentofte · 22/07, 10:00

Prediction: Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen vs Mariia Lazarenko

Prediction summary
Winner
39% 61%
Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen Mariia Lazarenko
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen 6-4 (W-L)
WLWLWWLLWW
Mariia Lazarenko 7-3 (W-L)
WWWLWLWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen 1527 · Mariia Lazarenko 1517
Astrid Wanja Brune OlsenMariia Lazarenko
Our model51%49%
Market29%71%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Astrid Wanja Brune OlsenMariia Lazarenko
Win %60%60%
Win % · Clay 57% (7) 50% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.91.4-0.9
Games (G-P)11.5-9.310.5-8.3
Aces1.10.4
Double faults2.73.8
1st serve %60.7%61.7%
Break %55.5%65%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/07 Sarafina Olivia Hansen
W35 Gentofte
2-0 12-3 W
19/07 Sofia Mortensen
W35 Gentofte
2-0 12-4 W
12/07 Alba Maria Coromina Boluda
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
1-2 12-18 L
03/07 Shannon Lam
W15 Getxo · ~Clay
1-2 9-15 L
02/07 Raquel Caballero Chica
W15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-1 16-14 W
01/07 Ania Hertel
W15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
25/06 Allegra Korpanec Davies
W15 Galati · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
23/06 Simona Cucu
W15 Galati · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
18/06 Daria Yesypchuk
W15 Bucharest · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
17/06 Anna Jelinkova
W15 Bucharest · ~Clay
2-0 11-1 W

Mariia Lazarenko

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/07 Jessica Bertoldo
W35 Torino
1-2 7-8 L
18/06 Beatrise Zeltina
W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
17/06 Giulia Maria Sofia Bonaccorso
W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay
2-0 11-6 W
11/06 Alina Granwehr
W35 Nice
1-2 12-18 L
10/06 Arina Bulatova
W35 Nice
2-1 15-13 W
09/06 Berta Miret Avante
W35 Nice
2-0 12-6 W
30/05 Anastasia Bertacchi
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
29/05 Lena Thomas Iglesias
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
28/05 Sana Garakani
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
26/05 Julie Myatovic
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen vs Mariia Lazarenko?

Our model gives 61% to Mariia Lazarenko, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.