Tennis · M15 Huamantla · 21/07, 19:00
Prediction: Mauricio Echazu vs Mwendwa Mbithi
Prediction summary
Winner
Mauricio Echazu
Mwendwa Mbithi
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Mauricio Echazu
5-5 (W-L)
Mwendwa Mbithi
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mauricio Echazu
0–1
Mwendwa Mbithi
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mauricio Echazu 1530 · Mwendwa Mbithi 1462
| Mauricio Echazu | Mwendwa Mbithi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mauricio Echazu (rating 1530 vs 1462).
- Head-to-head: Mauricio Echazu 0–1 Mwendwa Mbithi (1).
- Note: Mwendwa Mbithi makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Mauricio Echazu | Mwendwa Mbithi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-9.3 | 12.1-12.3 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 8 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 69% | 69.9% |
| Break % | 59.3% | 32.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
H2H · Mauricio Echazu 0 – 1 Mwendwa Mbithi (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mauricio Echazu 0–1 Mwendwa Mbithi
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/03/20 ITF M15 Cancun | 1-2 | 16-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mauricio Echazu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Juan Pablo Barriga Martinez M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/06 | Tomas Martinez Challenger Quito · Clay |
1-2 | 19-19 | L |
| 28/06 | Amador Salazar Challenger Quito Qual · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/06 | Luis Felipe Miguel M15 Brasilia |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/06 | Andre Souza M15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/04 | Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios M15 Quito · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 27/04 | Vicente Jose Benitez M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/02 | James Quattro UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/02 | Tommy Czaplinski UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/02 | Arjun Prabhakar UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
Mwendwa Mbithi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Christopher Papa Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Matias Soto Challenger Quito · Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 02/05 | Juan Sebastian Osorio M15 Quito · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 01/05 | Fernando Cavallo M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/04 | Felipe De Dios M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 29/04 | Herman Hoeyeraal M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 15/04 | Benjamin Willwerth M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/04 | Jacob Brumm M15 Boca Raton |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 10/04 | Jerry Roddick M15 Boca Raton |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 24/03 | Jacob Brumm M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mauricio Echazu vs Mwendwa Mbithi?
Our model gives 52% to Mwendwa Mbithi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.