Tennis · M15 Huamantla · 21/07, 19:00
Prediction: Matteo Covato vs Oliver Sanders
Prediction summary
Winner
Matteo Covato
Oliver Sanders
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Matteo Covato
2-8 (W-L)
Oliver Sanders
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matteo Covato 1382 · Oliver Sanders 1510
| Matteo Covato | Oliver Sanders | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 68% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oliver Sanders (rating 1382 vs 1510).
- Oliver Sanders is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Matteo Covato | Oliver Sanders | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.4-1.8 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.7-12.1 | 10.5-9.4 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 3 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 54.6% | 64.6% |
| Break % | 18.1% | 45.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matteo Covato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Jesse Delaney Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Justin Schlageter M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 16/06 | Noah Karma M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 09/06 | Jan Kumstat M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Richard Antoni M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Dylan Salton M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 13/05 | Stefan Storch M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Brazzaville · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Herbert Jody Maginley Challenger Brazzaville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/04 | Enzo Lima Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Oliver Sanders
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Eric Cuevas M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Teodor Davidov M25 Louisville |
1-2 | 7-9 | L |
| 09/07 | Esunge Ndumbe UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Cornelius Alexander Shalmi UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Ian Mayew UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Volodymyr Gurenko M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 29/04 | Noah Schachter M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 27/04 | Erick Manzano Navarro M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/04 | Daniel Milavsky M25 Xalapa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Ying Hou M25 Xalapa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matteo Covato vs Oliver Sanders?
Our model gives 67% to Oliver Sanders, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.