Tennis · W75 Vacaria · 21/07, 16:30
Prediction: Francesca Mattioli vs Marian Gomez Pezuela Cano
Prediction summary
Winner
Francesca Mattioli
Marian Gomez Pezuela Cano
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Francesca Mattioli
7-3 (W-L)
Marian Gomez Pezuela Cano
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesca Mattioli 1536 · Marian Gomez Pezuela Cano 1456
| Francesca Mattioli | Marian Gomez Pezuela Cano | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Francesca Mattioli (rating 1536 vs 1456).
- Francesca Mattioli is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Francesca Mattioli makes many double faults (6.4/match).
Statistics
| Francesca Mattioli | Marian Gomez Pezuela Cano | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-8.4 | 8.1-10 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 6.4 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 66.8% | 52.4% |
| Break % | 52.5% | 43.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesca Mattioli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Mia Popovic W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 16/07 | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez W35 Sao Paulo |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 15/07 | Pietra Rivoli W35 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Agustina Soto Neira W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/07 | Gabriela Carvalho Bettoni W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/06 | Carolina Alves W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Noelia Zeballos W15 Brasilia |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 04/06 | Maria F Herazo Gonzalez W15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/06 | Camila Markus W15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 25/10 | Vanesa Suarez UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Marian Gomez Pezuela Cano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Ana Cruz W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/07 | Beatriz Nahmias Melo Rodrigues W35 Sao Paulo |
1-2 | 7-10 | L |
| 22/06 | Nika Hurkacz W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Anna Kmiecik W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Hanna Jankowska W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/06 | Catarina M I Melleiro Junior W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 20/04 | Lucie Petruzelova W100 Charlottesville |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/03 | Agustina Daniela Duarte W35 Junin · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 21/02 | Elina Avanesyan WTA Merida · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/12 | Camila Markus UTR Pro Buenos Aires Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesca Mattioli vs Marian Gomez Pezuela Cano?
Our model gives 76% to Francesca Mattioli, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.