Tennis · W75 Vacaria · 21/07, 18:00
Prediction: Rebeca Pereira vs Catarina M I Melleiro Junior
Prediction summary
Winner
Rebeca Pereira
Catarina M I Melleiro Junior
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Rebeca Pereira
6-4 (W-L)
Catarina M I Melleiro Junior
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Rebeca Pereira
2–0
Catarina M I Melleiro Junior
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rebeca Pereira 1469 · Catarina M I Melleiro Junior 1481
| Rebeca Pereira | Catarina M I Melleiro Junior | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Rebeca Pereira 2–0 Catarina M I Melleiro Junior (2).
Statistics
| Rebeca Pereira | Catarina M I Melleiro Junior | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-11.6 | 8.9-9.2 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 52.3% | 51.4% |
| Break % | 38.9% | 62.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
H2H · Rebeca Pereira 2 – 0 Catarina M I Melleiro Junior (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rebeca Pereira 2–0 Catarina M I Melleiro Junior
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09/24 ITF W35 Leme | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/08/23 ITF W80 Brasilia | 2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rebeca Pereira
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Isabela De Mattos Silva W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/07 | Helena Bueno W35 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Romina Ccuno W15 Rio Claro |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 11/06 | Martina Capurro Taborda W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Sofia Cohen Perovani W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/06 | Laura Badia W15 Brasilia |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 30/03 | Emily Zornada W35 Junin · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-11 | L |
| 24/03 | Jaedan Brown W35 Junin · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/03 | Emily Zornada W35 Junin · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/01 | Lilian Poling W35 Buenos Aires |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
Catarina M I Melleiro Junior
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Josefina Estevez W35 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Livia Santo W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/07 | Chiara Di Genova W15 Rio Claro |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 06/07 | Vitoria Rabelo Redin W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/06 | Sofia Meabe W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Isabella Barrera Aguirre W15 Luque · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Lara Quaglia W15 Luque · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/06 | Gabriella Price W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Marian Gomez Pezuela Cano W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 08/06 | Beatriz Guerra W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rebeca Pereira vs Catarina M I Melleiro Junior?
Our model gives 53% to Rebeca Pereira, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.