Tennis · W75 Vacaria · 21/07, 15:00
Prediction: Maria F Herazo Gonzalez vs Polina Kaibekova
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria F Herazo Gonzalez
Polina Kaibekova
Estimated games
18.4
Recent form · 10 last
Maria F Herazo Gonzalez
4-6 (W-L)
Polina Kaibekova
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria F Herazo Gonzalez 1519 · Polina Kaibekova 1477
| Maria F Herazo Gonzalez | Polina Kaibekova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maria F Herazo Gonzalez (rating 1519 vs 1477).
- Note: Maria F Herazo Gonzalez makes many double faults (4.4/match).
- Note: Polina Kaibekova makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Maria F Herazo Gonzalez | Polina Kaibekova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-9.6 | 8.5-8.4 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 5.5 |
| 1st serve % | 57.5% | 61.8% |
| Break % | 36.7% | 57.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
18.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria F Herazo Gonzalez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele W35 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Ana Filipa Santos W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Oceane Babel W15 Rio Claro |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Maria Paulina Perez Garcia W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Ana Filipa Santos W15 Rio Claro |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 23/06 | Ana Carmen Zamburek W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Maria Florencia Urrutia W15 Luque · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Mariangel Estrella W15 Luque · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/06 | Agustina Soto Neira W15 Luque · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/06 | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
Polina Kaibekova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Maria Carolina Ferreira Turchetto W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 14/07 | Maria Camila Torres Murcia W35 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Maria Luisa Oliveira W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/05 | Lan Mi W15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Chane Steyn W15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 01/05 | Dune Vaissaud W15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-11 | L |
| 29/04 | Swasthika Arunkumar W15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/04 | Valentina Khrebtova W15 Pretoria · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 15/04 | Defne Cirpanli W15 Pretoria · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 25/01 | Varvara Panshina W100 Fujairah |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria F Herazo Gonzalez vs Polina Kaibekova?
Our model gives 63% to Maria F Herazo Gonzalez, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.