Tennis · W75 Cordenons · 21/07, 12:30
Prediction: Marta Lombardini vs Kajsa Rinaldo Persson
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Prediction summary
Winner
Marta Lombardini
Kajsa Rinaldo Persson
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Marta Lombardini
7-3 (W-L)
Kajsa Rinaldo Persson
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marta Lombardini 1567 · Kajsa Rinaldo Persson 1508
| Marta Lombardini | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marta Lombardini (rating 1567 vs 1508).
- Note: Marta Lombardini makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Marta Lombardini | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-8.8 | 10.6-10.1 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 61.1% | 58.2% |
| Break % | 51.9% | 59.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marta Lombardini
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Sofia Rocchetti W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 18/06 | Beatrice Ricci W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Miriana Tona W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-4 | W |
| 10/06 | Irina Balus W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Martina Lo Pumo W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/06 | Federica Urgesi W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Jazmin Ortenzi W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/06 | Federica Sacco W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/06 | Linda Sevcikova W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/05 | Anastasia Abbagnato W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
Kajsa Rinaldo Persson
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Darya Astakhova WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Dalma Galfi WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/06 | Fiona Ferro WTA Brescia · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 14/06 | Elina Avanesyan W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Anna-Lena Friedsam W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 12/06 | Laura Mair W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/06 | Eszter Meri W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/06 | Weronika Falkowska W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/06 | Noma Noha Akugue WTA Makarska · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marta Lombardini vs Kajsa Rinaldo Persson?
Our model gives 63% to Kajsa Rinaldo Persson, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.