Tennis · W75 Cordenons · 21/07, 12:30
Prediction: Gaia Maduzzi vs Mia Ristic
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Prediction summary
Winner
Gaia Maduzzi
Mia Ristic
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Gaia Maduzzi
6-4 (W-L)
Mia Ristic
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gaia Maduzzi 1547 · Mia Ristic 1511
| Gaia Maduzzi | Mia Ristic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Gaia Maduzzi | Mia Ristic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.8 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.1-7.3 | 11.3-9.6 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 57.9% | 64.2% |
| Break % | 53.5% | 46.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gaia Maduzzi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Lia Karatancheva W35 Torino |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Jessica Bertoldo W35 Torino |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Galatea Ferro W35 Torino |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/07 | Beatrice Ricci W35 Buzau |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 20/05 | Tilwith Di Girolami W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Emily Webley-Smith W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 25/04 | Tara Wuerth W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/04 | Vittoria Paganetti W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/04 | Luna Vujovic W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/04 | Agnese Gentili W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Mia Ristic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Erika Andreeva WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/07 | Mia Pohankova WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/07 | Alena Kovackova W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Jessica Pieri W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/06 | Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah WTA Brescia · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 16/06 | Deborah Chiesa WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 15/06 | Noemi Basiletti WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/06 | Verena Meliss WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/06 | Elina Avanesyan W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Ekaterina Kazionova W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gaia Maduzzi vs Mia Ristic?
Our model gives 64% to Mia Ristic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.