Tennis · W75 Cordenons · 21/07, 09:30
Prediction: Francesca Pace vs Beatrice Ricci
Prediction summary
Winner
Francesca Pace
Beatrice Ricci
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Francesca Pace
3-7 (W-L)
Beatrice Ricci
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesca Pace 1437 · Beatrice Ricci 1582
| Francesca Pace | Beatrice Ricci | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 70% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Beatrice Ricci (rating 1437 vs 1582).
- Beatrice Ricci is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Francesca Pace makes many double faults (4.7/match).
- Note: Beatrice Ricci makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Francesca Pace | Beatrice Ricci | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 22% (9) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.6 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.8-11.3 | 11.6-9.7 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 57.2% | 61.4% |
| Break % | 48.8% | 53.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesca Pace
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Eva Vedder WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Pia Lovric W35 Buzau |
0-2 | 2-8 | L |
| 02/07 | Weronika Falkowska W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 01/07 | Dune Vaissaud W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Jazmin Ortenzi WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Victoria Bosio WTA Modena · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 04/06 | Dalila Spiteri W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-9 | L |
| 03/06 | Luisina Giovannini W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/05 | Gina Marie Dittmann W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 21/05 | Iva Primorac Pavicic W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Beatrice Ricci
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Antonia Stoyanov W35 Torino |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Katerina Tsygourova W35 Torino |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 17/07 | Lia Karatancheva W35 Torino |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Tahlia Kokkinis W35 Torino |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Briana Szabo W35 Torino |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Eleonora Alvisi W35 Torino |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Julie Struplova W35 Buzau |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 07/07 | Gaia Maduzzi W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 06/07 | Ayanna Maria Mitu W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Marta Lombardini W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesca Pace vs Beatrice Ricci?
Our model gives 63% to Beatrice Ricci, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.