Tennis · W75 Cordenons · 21/07, 11:00
Prediction: Arianna Zucchini vs Katerina Tsygourova
Prediction summary
Winner
Arianna Zucchini
Katerina Tsygourova
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Arianna Zucchini
5-5 (W-L)
Katerina Tsygourova
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arianna Zucchini 1495 · Katerina Tsygourova 1558
| Arianna Zucchini | Katerina Tsygourova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Katerina Tsygourova (rating 1495 vs 1558).
Statistics
| Arianna Zucchini | Katerina Tsygourova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-9.4 | 12.1-8.7 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 56.6% | 63.4% |
| Break % | 60.9% | 62.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arianna Zucchini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Carolina Dibenedetto W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/07 | Mariia Bergen W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Lia Karatancheva W35 Torino |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Daria Gorska W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-10 | L |
| 21/05 | Weronika Falkowska W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Tara Wuerth W35 Bol · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 08/05 | Camilla Gennaro W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 07/05 | Angelica Raggi W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/05 | Benedetta Ortenzi W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/04 | Lucie Nguyen Tan W50 Bujumbura · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Katerina Tsygourova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Justine Bretnacher W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/07 | Beatrice Ricci W35 Torino |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Carlota Martinez Cirez W35 Torino |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 16/07 | Yara Bartashevich W35 Torino |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Marie Weckerle W35 Torino |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Martina Trevisan W100 Aschaffenburg |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Laura Hietaranta W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/07 | Fernanda Labrana W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/06 | Alja Senica W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Federica Urgesi W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arianna Zucchini vs Katerina Tsygourova?
Our model gives 63% to Katerina Tsygourova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.