Tennis · W75 Cordenons · 21/07, 11:00
Prediction: Francesca Curmi vs Pia Lovric
Prediction summary
Winner
Francesca Curmi
Pia Lovric
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Francesca Curmi
7-3 (W-L)
Pia Lovric
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesca Curmi 1601 · Pia Lovric 1515
| Francesca Curmi | Pia Lovric | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Francesca Curmi (rating 1601 vs 1515).
- Note: Pia Lovric makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Francesca Curmi | Pia Lovric | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 83% (6) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.5 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-7.7 | 11.1-9.3 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 59.6% | 61.7% |
| Break % | 49.9% | 56.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesca Curmi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Nastasja Schunk W50 Darmstadt |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Xinxin Yao W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/07 | Fernanda Labrana W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/07 | Jeline Vandromme WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Rebeka Masarova WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/07 | Oceane Dodin WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/06 | Alevtina Ibragimova W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/06 | Ipek Oz W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 18/06 | Jenny Lim W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Pia Lovric
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Lavinia Tanasie W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Luisa Fusil W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/07 | Gabriela Ce W35 Torino |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Sofia Rocchetti W35 Torino |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Lavinia Luciano W35 Torino |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/07 | Julie Struplova W35 Buzau |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 08/07 | Alesia Breaz W35 Buzau |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 06/07 | Francesca Pace W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 8-2 | W |
| 23/06 | Gabriela Ce W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-17 | L |
| 22/06 | Kaja Najzer W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesca Curmi vs Pia Lovric?
Our model gives 70% to Francesca Curmi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.