Tennis · W75 Cordenons · 21/07, 12:30
Prediction: Vittoria Paganetti vs Lavinia Tanasie
Prediction summary
Winner
Vittoria Paganetti
Lavinia Tanasie
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Vittoria Paganetti
5-5 (W-L)
Lavinia Tanasie
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vittoria Paganetti 1472 · Lavinia Tanasie 1531
| Vittoria Paganetti | Lavinia Tanasie | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lavinia Tanasie (rating 1472 vs 1531).
- Note: Vittoria Paganetti makes many double faults (9.1/match).
- Note: Lavinia Tanasie makes many double faults (7.1/match).
Statistics
| Vittoria Paganetti | Lavinia Tanasie | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-10.4 | 11.8-10.3 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 9.1 | 7.1 |
| 1st serve % | 57.8% | 61% |
| Break % | 49.5% | 54.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vittoria Paganetti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Antonia Stoyanov W35 Torino |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Greta Rizzetto W35 Torino |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Lia Karatancheva W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Alja Senica W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-13 | L |
| 19/06 | Gabriela Ce W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Paula Ormaechea W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Francesca Gandolfi W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 02/06 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Foggia · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Sara Mikaca W35 Bol · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Weronika Falkowska W35 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Lavinia Tanasie
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Pia Lovric W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/07 | Greta Rizzetto W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Sarah Van Emst W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 29/06 | Cecilie Agerbek Fridthjof W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Sara Victoria Balan W15 Galati · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/06 | Daria Yesypchuk W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 20/06 | Sara Victoria Balan W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 19/06 | Iulia Maria Buculei W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 17/06 | Maria Valentina Pop W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/11 | Romana Cisovska ITF W15 Clemson · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vittoria Paganetti vs Lavinia Tanasie?
Our model gives 56% to Lavinia Tanasie, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.