Tennis · W15 Nogent-sur-Marne · 21/07, 12:30
Prediction: Maria Andrienko vs Enola Chiesa
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Andrienko
Enola Chiesa
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Andrienko
7-3 (W-L)
Enola Chiesa
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Maria Andrienko
0–2
Enola Chiesa
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Andrienko 1564 · Enola Chiesa 1449
| Maria Andrienko | Enola Chiesa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maria Andrienko (rating 1564 vs 1449).
- Maria Andrienko is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Maria Andrienko 0–2 Enola Chiesa (2).
- Note: Enola Chiesa makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Maria Andrienko | Enola Chiesa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-8.7 | 9.5-11.9 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 3 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 59.6% | 54.6% |
| Break % | 49.7% | 54.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
H2H · Maria Andrienko 0 – 2 Enola Chiesa (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maria Andrienko 0–2 Enola Chiesa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/05/25 ITF W15 Castellon | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/11/22 ITF W15 Nules | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Andrienko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Aya Lababidi W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/07 | Savine Erler W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/07 | Ziva Falkner W15 Krsko |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Nala Kovacic W15 Krsko |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/07 | Stefanie Auer W15 Krsko |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/07 | Emily Sartz-Lunde W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 03/07 | Nour Sahnoun W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/07 | Sofia Camila Rojas W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 01/07 | Talia Neilson Gatenby W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-9 | W |
| 25/06 | Alyssa Reguer W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
Enola Chiesa
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Astrid Lew Yan Foon W35 Torino |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Daniela Vismane W75 The Hague |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 24/06 | Irina Fetecau W15 Galati · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Katerina Tsygourova W35 Ystad · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Adrienn Nagy W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Victoria Borodulina W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 28/05 | Gina Marie Dittmann W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Vaishnavi Adkar W35 Bol · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 26/05 | Maria Paulina Perez Garcia W35 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/05 | Natalija Senic W35 Bol · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Andrienko vs Enola Chiesa?
Our model gives 54% to Enola Chiesa, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.