Tennis · W15 Nogent-sur-Marne · 22/07, 10:00
Prediction: Alice Soulie vs Marcelina Podlinska
Prediction summary
Winner
Alice Soulie
Marcelina Podlinska
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Alice Soulie
5-5 (W-L)
Marcelina Podlinska
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alice Soulie 1499 · Marcelina Podlinska 1505
| Alice Soulie | Marcelina Podlinska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Alice Soulie | Marcelina Podlinska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-11.7 | 10.5-10.2 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 55.3% | 57.4% |
| Break % | 52.8% | 59.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alice Soulie
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Jade Bornay W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/07 | Marina Bulbarella W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
2-0 | 7-0 | W |
| 12/07 | Laurie Barendse UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 11/07 | Ginevra Montebruno UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/07 | Andrea Nova UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 09/07 | Ece Gencer UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 08/07 | Laura Svatikova UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 06/07 | Emily Welker UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 28/06 | Zoe Ulrich W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Josy Daems W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
Marcelina Podlinska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Tena Lukas W100 Aschaffenburg |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 01/07 | Emilija Tverijonaite W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Polina Bakhmutkina W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/06 | Nadia Affelt W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Briana Szabo W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 17/06 | Daria Gorska W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 06/05 | Lucie Nguyen Tan W75 Saint-Gaudens · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/05 | Astrid Lew Yan Foon W75 Saint-Gaudens · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/05 | Sarah Boussaffir W75 Saint-Gaudens · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alice Soulie vs Marcelina Podlinska?
Our model gives 67% to Marcelina Podlinska, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.