Tennis · W15 Nogent-sur-Marne · 22/07, 10:00
Prediction: Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard vs Hanna Bougouffa
Prediction summary
Winner
Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard
Hanna Bougouffa
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard
4-6 (W-L)
Hanna Bougouffa
1-9 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard
1–0
Hanna Bougouffa
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard 1440 · Hanna Bougouffa 1431
| Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard | Hanna Bougouffa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard 1–0 Hanna Bougouffa (1).
- Note: Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard makes many double faults (4.5/match).
- Note: Hanna Bougouffa makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard | Hanna Bougouffa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (4) | 0% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 0.5-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-12 | 5.9-11.9 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 55.9% | 53.4% |
| Break % | 41.3% | 24% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
H2H · Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard 1 – 0 Hanna Bougouffa (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard 1–0 Hanna Bougouffa
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01/24 W15 Monastir | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Luna Vujovic W35 Torino |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Carla Giambelli W35 Torino |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Madison Sieg W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 19/05 | Bianca Andreescu French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Sarah Iliev W15 Reichstett · ~Clay |
0-1 | 6-7 | L |
| 05/05 | Tea Kovacevic W15 Reichstett · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/02 | Katerina Tsygourova W50 Macon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/02 | Hena Cehajic W50 Macon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/02 | Amandine Monnot W75 Andrezieux-Boutheon · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 23/01 | Margaux Rouvroy W35 Petit-Bourg |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Hanna Bougouffa
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Federica Trevisan W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/07 | Mila Bastianelli W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
2-1 | 9-12 | W |
| 28/06 | Meline Lataste W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Ipek Oz W75 Blois · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Liv Boulard W75 Blois · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 09/06 | Annemarie Lazar W15 Merzig · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 16/11 | Anastasiia Firman ITF W75 Petange · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Liv Boulard ITF W75 Poitiers · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/10 | Liv Boulard ITF W50 Cherbourg · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Mariella Thamm ITF W75 Le Neubourg · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard vs Hanna Bougouffa?
Our model gives 73% to Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.