Tennis · W15 Nogent-sur-Marne · 22/07, 10:00
Prediction: Ania Hertel vs Kateryna Diatlova
Prediction summary
Winner
Ania Hertel
Kateryna Diatlova
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ania Hertel
3-7 (W-L)
Kateryna Diatlova
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ania Hertel 1418 · Kateryna Diatlova 1479
| Ania Hertel | Kateryna Diatlova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kateryna Diatlova (rating 1418 vs 1479).
Statistics
| Ania Hertel | Kateryna Diatlova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.5 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.9-11.2 | 12.2-12.4 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 4 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 60.8% | 66% |
| Break % | 26.2% | 35.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ania Hertel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Martina Trevisan W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/06 | Mirjana Jovanovic W15 Banja Luka · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-11 | L |
| 04/06 | Iva Ivanovic W15 Banja Luka · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/05 | Eleonora Alvisi W15 Grado · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-11 | L |
| 11/05 | Laura Hietaranta W75 Trnava |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/05 | Janika K Alzugaray W75 Trnava |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 05/05 | Anina Lanz W15 Reichstett · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 30/04 | Loes Ebeling Koning W15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Fleur de Bresser W15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Kateryna Diatlova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Ann Akasha Ceuca W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Ui Su Jeong W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 04/06 | Alana Subasic W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Nicole Giannini W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/05 | Asylzhan Arystanbekova W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Ashmitha Easwaramurthi W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/04 | Isabella Shinikova W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 09/04 | Laima Vladson W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 08/04 | Nina Sozaonova W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 02/04 | Maria Golovina W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ania Hertel vs Kateryna Diatlova?
Our model gives 55% to Kateryna Diatlova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.