Tennis · W15 Nogent-sur-Marne · 21/07, 14:00
Prediction: Marta Soriano Santiago vs Selina Atay
Prediction summary
Winner
Marta Soriano Santiago
Selina Atay
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Marta Soriano Santiago
6-4 (W-L)
Selina Atay
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marta Soriano Santiago 1578 · Selina Atay 1496
| Marta Soriano Santiago | Selina Atay | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marta Soriano Santiago (rating 1578 vs 1496).
- Marta Soriano Santiago is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Marta Soriano Santiago | Selina Atay | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 86% (7) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-8 | 9.6-10.9 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 63.7% | 56% |
| Break % | 56.6% | 48.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marta Soriano Santiago
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Ilinca Sagmar W15 Galati · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Madhurima Sawant W15 Galati · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 13/06 | Ruth Roura Llaverias W15 Madrid |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Margaux Maquet W15 Madrid |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 10/06 | Elyse Tse W15 Madrid |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/06 | Nina Vargova W15 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Carolina Dibenedetto W15 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-4 | W |
| 05/06 | Emma Lene W15 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 04/06 | Clarissa Blomqvist W15 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 03/06 | Warda Ait El Bachir W15 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
Selina Atay
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Duru Soke W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Doga Turkmen W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 25/06 | Duru Soke W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Alisa Vasileva W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 16/06 | Cagla Buyukakcay W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Andzhelina Kostova W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 03/06 | Irem Kurt W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Duru Soke W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Mariia Bergen W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/05 | Anja Wildgruber W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marta Soriano Santiago vs Selina Atay?
Our model gives 71% to Marta Soriano Santiago, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.