Tennis · W35 Santa Fe · 22/07, 01:00
Prediction: Ekaterina Khayrutdinova vs Brandelyn Fulgenzi
Prediction summary
Winner
Ekaterina Khayrutdinova
Brandelyn Fulgenzi
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Ekaterina Khayrutdinova
3-7 (W-L)
Brandelyn Fulgenzi
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ekaterina Khayrutdinova 1507 · Brandelyn Fulgenzi 1606
| Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | Brandelyn Fulgenzi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brandelyn Fulgenzi (rating 1507 vs 1606).
- Brandelyn Fulgenzi is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Brandelyn Fulgenzi makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | Brandelyn Fulgenzi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.8-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-9.9 | 12.3-7.1 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 56.9% | 66.5% |
| Break % | 48.6% | 56.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ekaterina Khayrutdinova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Alina Shcherbinina W35 Dallas |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Dasha Ivanova W35 Dallas |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 14/07 | Chukwumelije Clarke W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Olivia Lincer W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Madison Brengle W35 Rome |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 24/06 | Ava Catanzarite W35 Rome |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/06 | Sahaja Yamalapalli W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Elena-Teodora Cadar W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 10/06 | Ashton Bowers W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/06 | Cadence Brace W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Brandelyn Fulgenzi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Kate Fakih W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/06 | Addison Yang Comiskey W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/01 | Marika Jones UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/01 | Shakhnoza Khatamova UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/01 | Dia Evtimova UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 27/01 | Anastasiya Kuparev UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 21/11 | Anna Kubareva W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 20/11 | Kristyna Paul W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/11 | Kristina Belkova W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ekaterina Khayrutdinova vs Brandelyn Fulgenzi?
Our model gives 56% to Ekaterina Khayrutdinova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.