Tennis · W35 Santa Fe · 21/07, 18:00
Prediction: Mayu Crossley vs Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
Prediction summary
Winner
Mayu Crossley
Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Mayu Crossley
8-2 (W-L)
Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mayu Crossley 1610 · Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon 1552
| Mayu Crossley | Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mayu Crossley (rating 1610 vs 1552).
- Note: Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Mayu Crossley | Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 89% (9) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-7.3 | 12.6-11 |
| Aces | 1 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 63.7% | 63.4% |
| Break % | 58.5% | 41.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mayu Crossley
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06 | Kristina Penickova W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/06 | Dasha Plekhanova W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 05/06 | Jo Yee Chan W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/06 | Kaitlyn Carnicella W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/06 | Yulia Zhytelna W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 30/05 | Tatum Evans W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 29/05 | Kallista Liu W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/05 | Midori Castillo Meza W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/05 | Sofia Thorne W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/11 | Emily Seibold ITF W35 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Alina Shcherbinina W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Jade Otway W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/06 | Alexis Nguyen W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Brandelyn Fulgenzi W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Nicole Weng W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/06 | Ena Koike W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 01/06 | Allura Zamarripa W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/05 | Tatum Evans W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 30/05 | Allison Wang W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/05 | Dasha Plekhanova W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mayu Crossley vs Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon?
Our model gives 59% to Mayu Crossley, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.