Tennis · W35 Santa Fe · 22/07, 17:00
Prediction: Malaika Rapolu vs Lexington Reed
Prediction summary
Winner
Malaika Rapolu
Lexington Reed
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Malaika Rapolu
8-2 (W-L)
Lexington Reed
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Malaika Rapolu
0–1
Lexington Reed
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Malaika Rapolu 1520 · Lexington Reed 1511
| Malaika Rapolu | Lexington Reed | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Malaika Rapolu 0–1 Lexington Reed (1).
Statistics
| Malaika Rapolu | Lexington Reed | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-8.3 | 10.7-9.9 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 70.8% | 63.1% |
| Break % | 56% | 40.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
H2H · Malaika Rapolu 0 – 1 Lexington Reed (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Malaika Rapolu 0–1 Lexington Reed
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/26 W35 Dallas | 1-2 | 12-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Malaika Rapolu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Lexington Reed W35 Dallas |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 16/07 | Ankita Raina W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Anita Sahdiieva W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/07 | Sara Daavettila W50 Columbus |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 09/07 | Miho Kuramochi W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/07 | Ayana Akli W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Kristina Liutova W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Mary Lewis W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/06 | Jasmine Conway W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/06 | Sahaja Yamalapalli W35 Rome |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
Lexington Reed
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Hanna Chang W35 Dallas |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Malaika Rapolu W35 Dallas |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 16/07 | Jennifer Jackson W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Eunhye Lee W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Zimora Mcknight W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/07 | Christasha McNeil W50 Columbus |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 06/07 | Elizabeth Ionescu W50 Columbus |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 03/12 | Abigail Rencheli ITF W35 Daytona Beach |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/11 | Sophia Biolay ITF W35 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/11 | Akasha Urhobo ITF W35 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Malaika Rapolu vs Lexington Reed?
Our model gives 63% to Malaika Rapolu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.