Tennis · W35 Santa Fe · 21/07, 18:00
Prediction: Malwina Rowinska vs Juliette Nask
Prediction summary
Winner
Malwina Rowinska
Juliette Nask
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Malwina Rowinska
6-4 (W-L)
Juliette Nask
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Malwina Rowinska 1578 · Juliette Nask 1461
| Malwina Rowinska | Juliette Nask | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Malwina Rowinska (rating 1578 vs 1461).
- Malwina Rowinska is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Malwina Rowinska makes many double faults (7.1/match).
Statistics
| Malwina Rowinska | Juliette Nask | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (6) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-9.7 | 9.4-11.5 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 7.1 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 58.8% | 51.8% |
| Break % | 52.6% | 37.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Malwina Rowinska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Jennifer Jackson W35 Dallas |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 14/07 | Victoria Osuigwe W35 Dallas |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 14/06 | Brooklyn Olson UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/06 | Shravani Chennamsetty UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 11/06 | Victoria Osuigwe UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/06 | Susana Souhrada UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/06 | Chelsea Casapu UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 08/06 | Lillian Santos UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/05 | Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez W35 Boca Raton |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/04 | Alicia Herrero Linana W35 Boca Raton |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Juliette Nask
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06 | Kolie Allen UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Ana Carmen Zamburek UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Cookie Jarvis-Tredgett UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 08/06 | Shravani Chennamsetty UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 08/05 | Georgia Kulevich UTR Pro Concord Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Mariana Manyoma UTR Pro Concord Women · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Ligaya Murray UTR Pro Concord Women · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 04/05 | Meisha Kendall-Woseley UTR Pro Concord Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/02 | Maria Navarro UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/02 | Najah Dawson UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Malwina Rowinska vs Juliette Nask?
Our model gives 73% to Malwina Rowinska, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.