Tennis · W35 Santa Fe · 21/07, 18:00
Prediction: Maria Kononova vs Anna Grigoreva
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Kononova
Anna Grigoreva
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Kononova
2-8 (W-L)
Anna Grigoreva
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Kononova 1450 · Anna Grigoreva 1507
| Maria Kononova | Anna Grigoreva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anna Grigoreva (rating 1450 vs 1507).
- Note: Maria Kononova makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Maria Kononova | Anna Grigoreva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (5) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.6 | 1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-11.9 | 8.9-8.9 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 59% | 59.1% |
| Break % | 42.1% | 42.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Kononova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Christasha McNeil W35 Dallas |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Elena Mireles W35 Dallas |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 14/07 | Diae El Jardi W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Lily Fairclough W35 Rome |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Lea Ma W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Carolina Gomez W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Martina Okalova W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 01/06 | Maya Iyengar W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 26/05 | Lillian Santos W35 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-7 | L |
| 18/05 | Claire Hill W50 Pelham · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Anna Grigoreva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06 | Daniela Vidal Romero UTR Pro Boston Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/06 | Mariana Manyoma UTR Pro Boston Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Nikoline Gullacksen UTR Pro Boston Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/06 | Marina Fuduric UTR Pro Boston Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Caroline Manzi UTR Pro Philadelphia Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/06 | Valerie Shue UTR Pro Philadelphia Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Heidi Bulger UTR Pro Philadelphia Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/06 | Linda Ziets Segura UTR Pro Philadelphia Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/01 | Ella Brownback UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 03/01 | Jermine Sherif UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Kononova vs Anna Grigoreva?
Our model gives 60% to Maria Kononova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.