Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 25/07, 23:30

Prediction: Douglas Yaffa vs Avery Tallakson

Team pages: Douglas Yaffa · Avery Tallakson

Prediction summary
Winner
58% 42%
Douglas Yaffa Avery Tallakson
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Douglas Yaffa 6-4 (W-L)
LWLWWWWLLW
Avery Tallakson 3-7 (W-L)
WLWWLLLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Douglas Yaffa 1565 · Avery Tallakson 1476
Douglas YaffaAvery Tallakson
Our model63%37%
Market54%46%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Douglas Yaffa (rating 1565 vs 1476).
  • Douglas Yaffa is in better form: 70% recent wins.

Statistics

Douglas YaffaAvery Tallakson
Win %70%40%
Win % · Hard 70% (10) 40% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.81-1.5
Games (G-P)12-9.111.3-12.1
Aces1.92.6
Double faults2.92.4
1st serve %64.9%63.8%
Break %57.3%62.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Douglas Yaffa

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/07 Bryan Assi
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 14-11 W
19/07 Xavier Calvelo
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
1-2 17-15 L
18/07 Hugo Hashimoto
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-1 14-11 W
18/07 Benjamin Berger
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
16/07 Yashwin Krishnakumar
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
15/07 Evan Lee
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-1 15-10 W
14/07 Connor Robb-Wilcox
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
10/12 Charles Frey
UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
08/12 Francisco Jose Perez Esnaola
UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
07/12 Alan Jesudason
UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard
0-2 9-13 L

Avery Tallakson

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/07 Cayden Wang
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-1 17-14 W
11/06 Tristan Stringer
M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard
0-2 8-12 L
09/06 Marco Alvarez
M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard
2-1 12-12 W
03/06 Marko Mesarovic
M15 Lakewood · ~Hard
1-2 14-17 L
21/12 Matthis Ross
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
19/12 Andy Nguyen
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 6-13 L
18/12 Alessandro-D Ventre
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-0 W
16/12 Cesar Cruz
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-1 16-13 W
15/12 Niels Hoffmann
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
05/12 Rishvanth Krishna
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
1-2 11-15 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Douglas Yaffa vs Avery Tallakson?

Our model gives 58% to Douglas Yaffa, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.