Tennis · W100 Amstetten · 21/07, 10:00
Prediction: Isabella Maria Serban vs Kali Supova
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Prediction summary
Winner
Isabella Maria Serban
Kali Supova
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Isabella Maria Serban
5-5 (W-L)
Kali Supova
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Isabella Maria Serban 1507 · Kali Supova 1561
| Isabella Maria Serban | Kali Supova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kali Supova (rating 1507 vs 1561).
- Note: Kali Supova makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Isabella Maria Serban | Kali Supova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-9.4 | 12.1-9.6 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 62.1% | 61.1% |
| Break % | 40.9% | 49.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Isabella Maria Serban
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Radka Zelnickova W75 Olomouc |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 16/07 | Daria Kuczer W75 Olomouc |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Aurora Zantedeschi W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 29/06 | Lucie Pawlak W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/06 | Lola Radivojevic W75 Blois · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Elizaveta Rozhkova W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/06 | Mina Hodzic W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Francesca Gandolfi W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 21/05 | Dunja Maric W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 20/05 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
Kali Supova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Lucie Petruzelova W100 Amstetten |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/07 | Eszter Meri W100 Amstetten |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Petra Sedlackova W75 Olomouc |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 11/07 | Adithya Karunaratne W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Tian Jialin W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/07 | Dusica Popovski W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 08/07 | Manon Favier W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 02/07 | Eszter Meri W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Melissa Boyden W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 30/06 | Aleksandra Janiszewska W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Isabella Maria Serban vs Kali Supova?
Our model gives 53% to Isabella Maria Serban, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.